The world's top energy watchdog has warned that the UK economy will become a net importer of oil this year - 3 years earlier than the government has predicted. The International Energy Agency (IEA) has forecast that North Sea oil production will dip below 1.7m barrels per day this year, forcing the economy to rely on more imported supplies to meet demand.
The government's more optimistic forecasts do not see the UK becoming a net importer until 2010. The IEA's warnings raise the prospect that the government may turn out to be as badly wrong-footed by the decline of UK oil production as it was by the decline of UK gas - a failure which has put the UK on the edge of a gas crisis this winter.
The news will also come as a shock to UK oil producers who share the government's optimistic forecast. Peter Spencer, chief economist for UK Item Club, added: "We were in such a hurry to exploit all our oil and gas resources that we burnt it all off when prices were cheap."