Friday January 15, 2010

NYMEX crude oil prices drop below $79 as Euro falls against USD on Greece concerns

bloomberg.com :

The Euro declined the most in almost a month against the US dollar on concern Greece's struggles to reduce its budget deficit will damage confidence in the region. The EUR/USD forex exchange rate fell as much as 0.8%, the biggest decline since 17 Dec 2009. Oil prices fell for a fifth day, the longest losing streak in five weeks, leading declines in commodities prices. ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet's warning that no member nation can expect "special treatment" fueled concern Greece's debt won't be eligible as collateral at the central bank. Rating downgrades sparked a rout in Greece's bonds in Dec 2009 as the budget deficit headed for 12.7% of GDP, more than 4 times the European Union limit.

Feb 2010 NYMEX crude futures fell to $78.95. The S&P GSCI Index of commodities fell for a fifth day, the longest losing streak in a month. Corn declined 0.9% to $3.7775 a bushel in Chicago trading. Wheat and soybeans also declined. Copper fell 0.5 percent to $7,455.50 a metric ton on the London Metal Exchange, leading a drop in industrial metals.

- It looks like we could be headed for a slight pause in the commodities rally powered by crude oil and gold prices coming into the beginning of 2010, or at least a consolidation situation in the commodities markets before the next directional movement can be discerned. The threat of a China slowdown with the central bank starting to make noises about tightening credit and reining in the runaway property boom does not help the bullish case very much either. Hence I am now looking once again at support levels with that for crude oil prices being around the $75 level and for gold prices it is around the $1100 level, with the advice being to watch for either support holding or breaking down below these levels.

See also :

1. NYMEX crude oil prices soar above $72 on economic recovery, euro rally
2. NYMEX crude oil prices rise above $78 on Nigeria crisis, US economic recovery
3. NYMEX crude oil prices hit $80, gold prices trade near $1070.80 record high
4. COMEX gold futures prices hit record over $1227, USD weakness trumps Dubai debt payment fears
5. Commodities prices post biggest annual gain in four decades on China demand

(2010-01-15 22:05:42 SGT) [Energy] Permalink

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